ケリー資金管理型ユーロドルスイング_H1
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- Whole period
- 2 years
- 1 year
- 6 months
- 3 months
- 1 month
Profit
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0JPYProfit Factor
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0.00Rate of return risk
?
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0Average Profit
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0JPYAverage Loss
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0JPYBalance
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:
1,000,000JPYRate of return (all periods) ?
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0%Win Rate
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0%
(0/0)
Maximum Position
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:
0Maximum Drawdown
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:
0%
(0JPY)
Maximum Profit
:
0JPYMaximum Loss
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0JPYRecommended Margin
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0JPYUnrealized P/L
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0JPYDeposit
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1,000,000JPYCurrency
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JPY- Account
Operable Brokers
Usable with MT5-adopting brokers.
Forward testing (Profit)
Product Statistics
Product Comments
Monthly Statistics
2026
2025
2024
2023
2022
- Jan
- Feb
- Mar
- Apr
- May
- Jun
- Jul
- Aug
- Sep
- Oct
- Nov
- Dec
Calendar for Months
About EA's Strategy
Translating...
Currency Pairs
[EUR/USD]
Trading Style
[Swing Trading]
Maximum Number Position
1
Maximum Lot
22
Chart Time Frame
H1
Maximum Stop Loss
0
Take Profit
0
Straddle Trading
No
Application Type
Metatrader Auto Trading
Other File Usages
No
はじめに：本システムの設計思想
外国為替市場において、相場の未来を100%正確に予測することはできません。
本システム「ケリー資金管理型ユーロドルスイング H1」は、過剰な利益を狙って無理なポジションを取るのではなく、「いかに無駄なトレードを削ぎ落とし、損失を最小限に抑えながらトレンドの波を捉えるか」という堅実なリスク管理思想に基づいて開発されました。
ナンピンやマーチンゲールといった口座破綻リスクの高い手法は一切行わず、「常に最大1ポジション」で取引を完結させるクリーンな設計を採用しています。
基本仕様と多層防御機能
- 対象通貨・時間足：EURUSD（ユーロ/米ドル） / H1（1時間足）専用
- 保有ポジション数：最大1ポジション（ナンピン・両建てなし）
- ボラティリティ適応型SL（1.7 ATR）：相場の変動幅（ATR）に応じて損切り幅を動的に設定し、突発的な市場ノイズによる不意のロスカットを回避しつつ損失を限定します。
- 目標利益（4.8 ATR）：リスクリワード比（1:2.8）を重視し、1回の勝ちトレードで十分な値幅を確保する設計です。
- シャンデリア・エグジット（トレーリング）：利益が乗った後は、過去一定期間の高値・安値に基づきSLを自動的に引き上げ、大きなトレンドの終焉まで利益を最大化します。
- スマート建値ロック：含み益が +1.8 ATRに達した時点で、SLを「建値 +0.4 ATR」へ自動移動させ、含み益の反転によるマイナス転落を防止します。
- 停滞タイムストップ（36本）：ポジション保有から36時間（36本）が経過して方向感が出ない場合、資金効率維持のため自動的に手仕舞いを行います。
- 週末リスク遮断＆金曜早期カット：金曜13時以降の新規エントリーを停止し、十分な含み益（+1.5 ATR以上）のないポジションは週末持ち越しを避けて金曜夜に強制決済します。
- 日次サーキットブレーカー：万が一当日の損失が口座資産の3.0%に達した場合、その日の新規エントリーを自動停止して口座を保護します。
ロジックの概要：市場構造（SMC）とトレンドの選別
1時間足のゆったりとした時間軸の中で、マクロ環境（日足トレンド・H4効率比）を確認した上で、統計的に優位性が確認された局面のみにエントリーを絞り込みます。
① SMC流動性トラップ捕獲（Judas Swing戦略）
ロンドン時間において、アジア時間の高値または安値を一時的に突破して逆指値（流動性）を巻き込んだ後に急反転する「ダマシ（Judas Swing）」を検知し、反転初動を捉えます。
※開場直後の乱高下（サーバー10時）やランチタイム（13時）のノイズはピンポイントで排除しています。
ロンドン時間において、アジア時間の高値または安値を一時的に突破して逆指値（流動性）を巻き込んだ後に急反転する「ダマシ（Judas Swing）」を検知し、反転初動を捉えます。
※開場直後の乱高下（サーバー10時）やランチタイム（13時）のノイズはピンポイントで排除しています。
② ロンドン・エクスパンション（順張りブレイクアウト推進）
日足EMAが明確な上昇トレンドを示している局面において、ロンドン本流時間帯（サーバー11〜14時）でアジア高値を実体で明確にブレイクした波に順張りで追従します。
日足EMAが明確な上昇トレンドを示している局面において、ロンドン本流時間帯（サーバー11〜14時）でアジア高値を実体で明確にブレイクした波に順張りで追従します。
③ TTMスクイーズ（欧米重複時間の下値解放）
ボリンジャーバンドがケルトナーチャネルの内側に収縮（エネルギー充填）した後のブレイクアウトを捉え、欧米市場の重複時間（サーバー12〜14時）における下落トレンド初動を狙います。
ボリンジャーバンドがケルトナーチャネルの内側に収縮（エネルギー充填）した後のブレイクアウトを捉え、欧米市場の重複時間（サーバー12〜14時）における下落トレンド初動を狙います。
4大ロジック非相関ポートフォリオの客観検証データ
短期スキャルピングEAと、中期スイングEAを組み合わせることで、特定の相場サイクルに偏らない頑健な運用体制を構築できます。
当開発チームでは、「通貨ペアの分散（USDJPY × EURUSD）」×「時間軸の分散（M1スキャル × H1スイング）」による4大ロジックの非相関ポートフォリオを構築し、日次確定損益（Daily PnL）に基づくピアソンの積率相関係数を算出いたしました。
| ロジック名 | 通貨・足 | ① ドル円M1 | ② ユーロドルM1 | ③ ユーロドルH1 | ④ ドル円H1 | 相関評価 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ① ドル円スキャル M1 | USDJPY (M1) | 1.000 | -0.053 | +0.006 | +0.023 | 理想的な逆相関・無相関 |
| ② ユーロドルスキャル M1 | EURUSD (M1) | -0.053 | 1.000 | +0.004 | -0.032 | 理想的な逆相関・無相関 |
| ③ ユーロドルスイング H1（本作） | EURUSD (H1) | +0.006 | +0.004 | 1.000 | +0.027 | 完全無相関 |
| ④ ドル円スイング H1 | USDJPY (H1) | +0.023 | -0.032 | +0.027 | 1.000 | 理想的な逆相関・無相関 |
💡 金融工学に基づく驚異的な相殺効果
・相関係数が0.10未満の場合、統計的に「互いに独立（無相関）」と判定されます。
・本EAはドル円M1（+0.006）、ユーロドルM1（+0.004）、ドル円H1スイング（+0.027）の全ロジックと完全な無相関を保っています。
★ 4大ロジック合算純利益：+60,526,245 円（資産 7.05倍達成！）。時間軸（M1 × H1）と通貨ペアの異なるポートフォリオとして運用することで、最大級のリスク分散効果が期待できます。
・相関係数が0.10未満の場合、統計的に「互いに独立（無相関）」と判定されます。
・本EAはドル円M1（+0.006）、ユーロドルM1（+0.004）、ドル円H1スイング（+0.027）の全ロジックと完全な無相関を保っています。
★ 4大ロジック合算純利益：+60,526,245 円（資産 7.05倍達成！）。時間軸（M1 × H1）と通貨ペアの異なるポートフォリオとして運用することで、最大級のリスク分散効果が期待できます。
ご利用にあたっての留意事項
- 過去の検証データや相関分析はバックテストに基づくシミュレーションであり、将来の運用成果や利益を保証するものではありません。
- 1時間足をベースとした厳選型スイングトレードのため、相場環境によっては数日間エントリーが発生しない場合があります。じっくりとした中長期視点での運用を推奨いたします。
- 初期設定は連敗抑制付きのケリー複利計算となっておりますが、システムの動作や相場特性に慣れるまでは固定ロット（0.01〜0.10Lot等の単利運用）から開始されることを推奨いたします。
- 投資に係る最終判断はご自身の責任において行い、必ず余剰資金の範囲内で無理のない運用を行ってください。
Forward Test
Back Test
￥29,800 (taxed)
Provider/Distributor:
Sales site:
GogoJungle
●Payment
About Forex Automated Trading
What is Forex Automated Trading (MT4 EA)?
Forex Automated Trading refers to trading that is automated through programming, incorporating predetermined trading and settlement rules. There are various methods to conduct automated trading, but at GogoJungle, we deal with Experts Advisors (hereinafter referred to as EA) that operate on a trading platform called MT4.
Trading Types of Forex Automated Trading
There are various types of EAs (Expert Advisors) for different trading types that can be used on MT4.
Just like discretionary trading, there are those that decide trading and settlement timings by combining indicators, those that repeatedly buy or sell at certain price (pips) intervals, and trading methods that utilize market anomalies or temporal features. The variety is as rich as the methods in discretionary trading.
To categorize simply,
・Scalping (Type where trades are completed within a few minutes to a few hours),
・Day Trading (Type where trades are completed within several hours to about a day),
・Swing Trading (Type where trades are conducted over a relatively long period of about 1 day to 1 week)
・Grid/Martingale Trading (Holding multiple positions at equal or unequal intervals and settling all once a profit is made. Those that gradually increase the lot number are called Martingale.)
・Anomaly EA (Mid-price trading, early morning scalping)
Just like discretionary trading, there are those that decide trading and settlement timings by combining indicators, those that repeatedly buy or sell at certain price (pips) intervals, and trading methods that utilize market anomalies or temporal features. The variety is as rich as the methods in discretionary trading.
To categorize simply,
・Scalping (Type where trades are completed within a few minutes to a few hours),
・Day Trading (Type where trades are completed within several hours to about a day),
・Swing Trading (Type where trades are conducted over a relatively long period of about 1 day to 1 week)
・Grid/Martingale Trading (Holding multiple positions at equal or unequal intervals and settling all once a profit is made. Those that gradually increase the lot number are called Martingale.)
・Anomaly EA (Mid-price trading, early morning scalping)
Risks, Advantages, and Disadvantages of Forex Automated Trading
When engaging in Forex, there are risks in automated trading just as there are in discretionary trading.
However, a substantial advantage of automated trading is its ability to limit and predict risks beforehand.
[Risk]
Inherent to forex trading are the trading risks that undeniably exist in automated trading as well.
・Lot Size Risk
Increasing the lot size forcibly due to a high winning rate can, in rare instances, depending on the EA, lead to substantial Pips loss when a loss occurs. It is crucial to verify the SL Pips and the number of positions held before operating with an appropriate lot.
・Rapid Market Fluctuation Risk
There are instances where market prices fluctuate rapidly due to index announcements or unforeseen news. System trading does not account for such unpredictable market movements, rendering it incapable of making decisions on whether to settle in advance or abstain from trading. As a countermeasure, utilizing tools that halt the EA based on indicator announcements or the VIX (fear index) is also possible.
[Benefits]
・Operates 24 hours a day
If there is an opportunity, system trading will execute trades on your behalf consistently. It proves to be an extremely convenient tool for those unable to allocate time to trading.
・Trades dispassionately without being swayed by emotions
There is an absence of self-serving rule modifications, a common human tendency, such as increasing the lot size after consecutive losses in discretionary trading or, conversely, hastily securing profits with minimal gains.
・Accessible for beginners
To engage in Forex trading, there is no prerequisite to study; anyone using system trading will achieve the same results.
[Disadvantages]
・Cannot increase trading frequency at will
Since system trading operates based on pre-programmed conditions, depending on the type of EA, it might only execute trades a few times a month.
・Suitability may vary with market conditions
Depending on the trading type of the EA, there are periods more suited to trend trading and periods more suited to contrarian trading, making consistent results across all periods unlikely. While the previous year might have yielded good results, this year's performance might not be as promising, necessitating some level of discretion in determining whether it is an opportune time to operate.
However, a substantial advantage of automated trading is its ability to limit and predict risks beforehand.
[Risk]
Inherent to forex trading are the trading risks that undeniably exist in automated trading as well.
・Lot Size Risk
Increasing the lot size forcibly due to a high winning rate can, in rare instances, depending on the EA, lead to substantial Pips loss when a loss occurs. It is crucial to verify the SL Pips and the number of positions held before operating with an appropriate lot.
・Rapid Market Fluctuation Risk
There are instances where market prices fluctuate rapidly due to index announcements or unforeseen news. System trading does not account for such unpredictable market movements, rendering it incapable of making decisions on whether to settle in advance or abstain from trading. As a countermeasure, utilizing tools that halt the EA based on indicator announcements or the VIX (fear index) is also possible.
[Benefits]
・Operates 24 hours a day
If there is an opportunity, system trading will execute trades on your behalf consistently. It proves to be an extremely convenient tool for those unable to allocate time to trading.
・Trades dispassionately without being swayed by emotions
There is an absence of self-serving rule modifications, a common human tendency, such as increasing the lot size after consecutive losses in discretionary trading or, conversely, hastily securing profits with minimal gains.
・Accessible for beginners
To engage in Forex trading, there is no prerequisite to study; anyone using system trading will achieve the same results.
[Disadvantages]
・Cannot increase trading frequency at will
Since system trading operates based on pre-programmed conditions, depending on the type of EA, it might only execute trades a few times a month.
・Suitability may vary with market conditions
Depending on the trading type of the EA, there are periods more suited to trend trading and periods more suited to contrarian trading, making consistent results across all periods unlikely. While the previous year might have yielded good results, this year's performance might not be as promising, necessitating some level of discretion in determining whether it is an opportune time to operate.
Equipment and Environment Needed for Automated Trading Operation
The requirements for operating automated trading (EA) on MT4 are as follows:
・MT4 (MetaTrader 4. An account needs to be opened with a Forex company that offers MT4.)
・EA (A program for automated trading)
・The operating deposit required to run the EA
・A PC that can run 24 hours or a VPS (Virtual Private Server), where a virtual PC is hosted on a cloud server to run MT4.
・MT4 (MetaTrader 4. An account needs to be opened with a Forex company that offers MT4.)
・EA (A program for automated trading)
・The operating deposit required to run the EA
・A PC that can run 24 hours or a VPS (Virtual Private Server), where a virtual PC is hosted on a cloud server to run MT4.
Installation of MT4 and Account Login
If you open an account with a forex broker that supports MT4, you can use MT4 as provided by that forex broker. MT4 is a stand-alone type of software that needs to be installed on your computer, so you download the program file from the website of the FX company where you opened the account and install it on your computer.
Additionally, there are both demo and real accounts available. You can experience trading with virtual money by applying for a demo account. After opening a real account, you select the connection server assigned by the Forex broker, enter the password, and log in to the account.
When you deposit money into your account using the method specified by the forex broker, the funds will be reflected in your MT4 account, and you can trade.
Additionally, there are both demo and real accounts available. You can experience trading with virtual money by applying for a demo account. After opening a real account, you select the connection server assigned by the Forex broker, enter the password, and log in to the account.
When you deposit money into your account using the method specified by the forex broker, the funds will be reflected in your MT4 account, and you can trade.
How to Install EA on MT4
To set up an EA when you purchase it through GogoJungle, follow the steps below:
Firstly, download the purchased EA file from your My Page on GogoJungle. You will download a zip (compressed) file, so right-click to extract it and retrieve the file named ‘◯◯◯ (EA name)_A19GAw09 (any 8 alphanumeric characters).ex4’ from inside.
Next, launch MT4 and navigate to ‘File’ → ‘Open Data Folder’ → ‘MQL4’ → ‘Experts’ folder, and place the ex4 file inside. Once done, close MT4 and restart it. Then, go to the upper menu ‘Tools’ → ‘Options’, and under ‘Expert Advisors’, ensure ‘Allow automated trading’ and ‘Allow DLL imports’ are checked, then press OK to close.
The necessary currency pair and time frame for the correct operation of the EA are specified on the EA sales page. Refer to this information and open the chart of the correct currency pair time frame (e.g., USDJPY5M for a USD/Yen 5-minute chart).
Within the menu navigator, under ‘Expert Advisors’, you will find the EA file name you placed earlier. Click to select it, then drag & drop it directly onto the chart to load the EA. Alternatively, you can double-click the EA name to load it onto the selected chart.
If ‘Authentication Success’ appears in the upper left of the chart, the authentication has been successful. To operate the EA, you need to keep your PC running 24 hours. Therefore, either disable the automatic sleep function or host MT4 on a VPS and operate the EA.
Firstly, download the purchased EA file from your My Page on GogoJungle. You will download a zip (compressed) file, so right-click to extract it and retrieve the file named ‘◯◯◯ (EA name)_A19GAw09 (any 8 alphanumeric characters).ex4’ from inside.
Next, launch MT4 and navigate to ‘File’ → ‘Open Data Folder’ → ‘MQL4’ → ‘Experts’ folder, and place the ex4 file inside. Once done, close MT4 and restart it. Then, go to the upper menu ‘Tools’ → ‘Options’, and under ‘Expert Advisors’, ensure ‘Allow automated trading’ and ‘Allow DLL imports’ are checked, then press OK to close.
The necessary currency pair and time frame for the correct operation of the EA are specified on the EA sales page. Refer to this information and open the chart of the correct currency pair time frame (e.g., USDJPY5M for a USD/Yen 5-minute chart).
Within the menu navigator, under ‘Expert Advisors’, you will find the EA file name you placed earlier. Click to select it, then drag & drop it directly onto the chart to load the EA. Alternatively, you can double-click the EA name to load it onto the selected chart.
If ‘Authentication Success’ appears in the upper left of the chart, the authentication has been successful. To operate the EA, you need to keep your PC running 24 hours. Therefore, either disable the automatic sleep function or host MT4 on a VPS and operate the EA.
In Case You Want to Change the Account in Use
EAs from GogoJungle can be used with one real account and one demo account per EA.
If you want to use it with an account other than the authenticated one, you need to reset the registered account.
To reset the account, close the MT4 where the Web authentication is registered, then go to My Page on GogoJungle > Use > Digital Contents > the relevant EA > press the ‘Reset’ button for the registration number, and the registered account will be released.
When the account is in a reset state, using the EA with another MT4 account will register a new account.
Also, you can reset the account an unlimited number of times.
If you want to use it with an account other than the authenticated one, you need to reset the registered account.
To reset the account, close the MT4 where the Web authentication is registered, then go to My Page on GogoJungle > Use > Digital Contents > the relevant EA > press the ‘Reset’ button for the registration number, and the registered account will be released.
When the account is in a reset state, using the EA with another MT4 account will register a new account.
Also, you can reset the account an unlimited number of times.
Solutions for Errors During Web Authentication or Non-Functional Account Trading
If you encounter an error with Web authentication, or if the EA is trading on GogoJungle's forward performance page but not on your own account, there could be various reasons. For more details, please refer to the following link:
→ Items to Check When EA is Not Operating
→ Items to Check When EA is Not Operating
About the Size of Trading Lots
In Forex trading, the size of a lot is usually:
1 lot = 100,000 currency units
0.1 lot = 10,000 currency units
0.01 lot = 1,000 currency units
For USD/JPY, 1 lot would mean holding 100,000 dollars.
The margin required to hold lots is determined by the leverage set by the Forex broker.
If the leverage is 25 times, the margin required to hold 10,000 currency units of USD/JPY would be:
10000*109 (※ at a rate of 109 yen per dollar) ÷ 25 = 43,600 yen.
1 lot = 100,000 currency units
0.1 lot = 10,000 currency units
0.01 lot = 1,000 currency units
For USD/JPY, 1 lot would mean holding 100,000 dollars.
The margin required to hold lots is determined by the leverage set by the Forex broker.
If the leverage is 25 times, the margin required to hold 10,000 currency units of USD/JPY would be:
10000*109 (※ at a rate of 109 yen per dollar) ÷ 25 = 43,600 yen.
Glossary of Automated Trading
・Profit Factor: Total Profit ÷ Total Loss
・Risk-Return Ratio: Total Profit and Loss during the period ÷ Maximum Drawdown
・Maximum Drawdown: The largest unrealized loss during the operation period
・Maximum Position Number: This is the maximum number of positions that the EA can theoretically hold at the same time
・TP (Take Profit): The set profit-taking Pips (or specified amount, etc.) in the EA's settings
・SL (Stop Loss): The set maximum loss pips (or specified amount, etc.) in the EA's settings
・Trailing Stop: Instead of settling at a specified Pips, once a certain profit is made, the settlement SL is raised at a certain interval (towards the profit), maximizing the profit. It is a method of settlement.
・Risk-Reward Ratio (Payoff Ratio): Average Profit ÷ Average Loss
・Hedging: Holding both buy and sell positions simultaneously (Some FX companies also have types where hedging is not allowed)
・Risk-Return Ratio: Total Profit and Loss during the period ÷ Maximum Drawdown
・Maximum Drawdown: The largest unrealized loss during the operation period
・Maximum Position Number: This is the maximum number of positions that the EA can theoretically hold at the same time
・TP (Take Profit): The set profit-taking Pips (or specified amount, etc.) in the EA's settings
・SL (Stop Loss): The set maximum loss pips (or specified amount, etc.) in the EA's settings
・Trailing Stop: Instead of settling at a specified Pips, once a certain profit is made, the settlement SL is raised at a certain interval (towards the profit), maximizing the profit. It is a method of settlement.
・Risk-Reward Ratio (Payoff Ratio): Average Profit ÷ Average Loss
・Hedging: Holding both buy and sell positions simultaneously (Some FX companies also have types where hedging is not allowed)
Useful related pages
・How to Install MT4 EA (Expert Advisor) and Indicators
・MT4 Beginner's Guide
・Understanding System Trading Performance (Forward and Backtesting)
・Choosing Your First EA! Calculating Recommended Margin for EAs
・Comparing MT4 Accounts Based on Spread, Swap, and Execution Speed
・What is Web Authentication?
・Checklist for When Your EA Isn't Working
・MT4 Beginner's Guide
・Understanding System Trading Performance (Forward and Backtesting)
・Choosing Your First EA! Calculating Recommended Margin for EAs
・Comparing MT4 Accounts Based on Spread, Swap, and Execution Speed
・What is Web Authentication?
・Checklist for When Your EA Isn't Working
