■Position changes and signs - July 11, 2024

The dollar is weak in the morning in Tokyo. As European time approaches, the dollar weakens. From Europe to London, the yen appreciated against the dollar across the board. From Europe to the close in New York, the yen appreciated against the dollar across the board.

The dollar weakened throughout the day.

The intraday balance changed to dollar yen selling 161.46, euro yen selling 174.68, pound yen selling 206.80, and Aussie yen selling 108.87, shifting to an overnight position.

The yen appreciated across the board after the US CPI. Some view this as government intervention by the Bank of Japan.

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■Current position

7/11－SELL＠161.46

(LAST＠158.93）

Decline confirmation point-159.10　Return resistance-160.12

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■Positioning record 2024

7/09－BUY＠160.80

7/05－SELL＠161.20

6/13－BUY＠156.75

6/12－SELL＠156.50

6/07－BUY＠156.10

6/06－SELL＠155.70

6/05－BUY＠155.80

6/03－SELL＠156.80

5/31－BUY＠157.25

5/30－SELL＠157.00

5/17－BUY＠155.60

5/15－SELL＠156.30

5/06－BUY＠153.40

5/01－SELL＠156.25

4/30－BUY＠156.77

4/29－SELL＠156.36

4/05－BUY＠151.63

4/04－SELL＠151.33

4/01－BUY＠151.39

3/27－SELL＠151.35

3/12－BUY＠146.90

3/05－SELL＠150.11

3/04－BUY＠150.43

2/29－SELL＠150.55

2/21－BUY＠150.16

2/20－SELL＠150.01

2/19－BUY＠150.10

2/15－SELL＠150.48

2/07－BUY＠148.03

2/06－SELL＠148.44

2/02－BUY＠146.70

1/31－SELL＠147.41

1/30－BUY＠147.60

1/29－SELL＠147.71

1/25－BUY＠147.65

1/24－SELL＠147.95

1/15－BUY＠145.11

1/12－SELL＠145.35

1/09－BUY＠144.45

1/08－SELL＠144.63

1/02－BUY＠141.50

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■Trading method

[Basic concept]

When rising, use the previous day's true range value of 0.618...

The price subtracted from the previous day's high price supports the downside.

The price added to the previous day's low price is the confirmation point for resuming the rise.

When falling, the previous day's true range value of 0.618...

The price subtracted from the previous day's high price is the confirmation point for the resumption of decline.

The price added to the previous day's low is the resistance to reversal.

[Buying and selling policy]

When rising, push the downward price support to rise confirmation point to the formation zone and take a buying stance.

At the time of a decline, move the decline restart confirmation point to the return resistance to the return formation zone and sell stance.

If there is an anti-trend movement that exceeds the reversal resistance and downside support, there will be a counter buy and sell.

Hokutosei's Practical Forex Trading－USD/JPY “Change to dollar-yen short”