ð¯ ãã³ãã³å¹ ã®é»éæ¯ãçºèŠïŒ ATRã§çšŒãåå¢ãã¯ããã¯å®å šæ»ç¥
ð¯ ãã³ãã³å¹ ã®é»éæ¯ãçºèŠïŒ
ããã³ãã³å¹ ã£ãŠäœpipsã«èšå®ããã°ããã®ïŒããåºå®å¹ ã ãšå šç¶ããŸããããªã...ã
ãããªæ©ã¿ãæ±ããŠããELDRAãŠãŒã¶ãŒã«é©åœçãªãç¥ããã§ãïŒ
ãããã¬ãŒããŒãå¯ãã«äœ¿ã£ãŠããATRïŒAverage True RangeïŒã䜿ã£ããã³ãã³å¹ èšå®æ³ããã€ãã«å®å šå ¬éããŸãã
ãã®æ¹æ³ãç¥ã£ãŠããã ãã§ãå©çã2åã3åã«ãªãããšãçãããããŸãããå®éã«æå©30%ãå®å®ããŠçšŒããã¬ãŒããŒã®85%ããã®ææ³ã䜿ã£ãŠããŸãã
ãŸãããªãå€ãã®ãã¬ãŒããŒã皌ããªãã®ãããã®æ ¹æ¬åå ãæŽé²ããŸãã
â ïž åºå®å¹ èšå®ã®èŽåœçãª3ã€ã®çœ
1. ãã©ãã£ãªãã£å®å
šç¡èŠ
éããªæ±äº¬æéã§ãæ¿ããNYæéã§ãåã50pips...ããã§ã¯åãŠãã¯ãããããŸããã
2. é貚ãã¢ç¹æ§ãç¡èŠ
USDJPYãEURGBPãåãèšå®ïŒããããå
šãéãåããããã®ã«ããªãåãééãªã®ã§ããããïŒ
3. çžå Žç°å¢ãç¡èŠ
ãã¬ã³ãçžå Žã§ãã¬ã³ãžçžå Žã§ãåãå¹
...ããã§ã¯çžå Žã«é£ãããã ãã§ãã
äžæ¹ãATRã䜿ã£ãåçèšå®ã§ã¯ãçžå Žã®ãä»ãã®ç¬éã®ç¶æ³ãã«åãããŠæé©ãªãã³ãã³å¹ ãèªåèšç®ã§ããŸãã
âš ATRèšå®ã®å§åçãª3ã€ã®ã¡ãªãã
1. çžå Žé©å¿å
ãã©ãã£ãªãã£ã®å€åã«å¿ããŠèªåã§æé©èª¿æŽããŸãã§çžå Žãèªãã§ãããã®ãããªç²ŸåºŠã§ãã
2. é貚ãã¢æé©å
åãã¢ã®ç¹æ§ã«åãããåå¥èšå®ã§ãã©ã®é貚ãã¢ã§ãå®å®ããããã©ãŒãã³ã¹ãå®çŸã
3. æéå¹çã®é©åœ
èšå®å€æŽã®æéãæ¿æžãäžåºŠèšå®ããã°ãåŸã¯çžå Žãåæã«æããŠãããŸãã
ãŸãã¯åºæ¬ãšãªãATRã€ã³ãã£ã±ãŒã¿ãMetaTrader5ã«è¡šç€ºããŸãããããã®èšå®ãééãããšãå šãŠãå°ç¡ãã«ãªããŸãã
ãããATRãïœð²
Step 1: ãã£ãŒãäžã§å³ã¯ãªãã¯
Step 2: ãã€ã³ãã£ã±ãŒã¿ãâ ããã¬ã³ããâ ãAverage True Rangeã
Step 3: ãã©ã¡ãŒã¿èšå®
ãã»æé: 14ïŒãããé»éæ¯ïŒïŒ
ãã»é©çšäŸ¡æ Œ: ä»»æ
Step 4: ãOKããã¯ãªãã¯ããŠå®äº
ð¡ ããã ããç¥ã£ãŠããç§å¯
ãªãæéã14ããªã®ãïŒ
ããã¯2é±éåã®ãã¬ãŒãã£ã³ã°ã»ãã·ã§ã³ã衚ããçžå Žã®ãã©ãã£ãªãã£ãµã€ã¯ã«ãšæãçžé¢ãé«ãæ°å€ãšããŠãæ©é¢æè³å®¶ãé·å¹Žäœ¿ãç¶ããŠãããéæ³ã®æ°åããªã®ã§ãã
ããã§ãã£ãŒãäžéšã«ATRã衚瀺ãããŸãããã®æ°å€ããä»ã®çžå Žã®ãã©ãã£ãªãã£ããæ°å€åãããã®ã§ãããããèŠãŠããã ãã§ããçžå Žã®ç¶æ³ãæã«åãããã«ãããããã«ãªããŸãã
ããããæ žå¿éšåã§ããå®éã«æå©30%ãå®å®ããŠçšŒããããã¬ãŒããŒ100人ã«ãã¢ãªã³ã°ããŠå€æãããéå€äžåºã®èšç®åŒãåå ¬éããŸãã
ð¥ 究極ã®é»éæ¯èšç®åŒ
ãã®ã乿°ãã®éžã³æ¹ã§ãããªãã®éåœã決ãŸããŸãã
åé¡ã¯ã乿°ããããã€ã«èšå®ãããã§ããããã§å€§å€æ°ã®ãã¬ãŒããŒãééããç¯ããŸãã
ç§ãã¡ãå®éã«ELDRAã§æå©20%以äžã皌ãã§ãããã¬ãŒããŒ100人ã«ã¢ã³ã±ãŒããåã£ããçã®çµæããã¡ãã§ãïŒ
| ãªã¹ã¯ã¬ãã« | 乿° | ç¹åŸŽ | å¹³åæå© |
|---|---|---|---|
| ä¿å®ç | 2.0-3.0 | å®å šæ§éèŠããã³ãã³çºåå° | 8-15% |
| æšæºïŒæäººæ°ïŒ | 1.5-2.0 | ãã©ã³ã¹åãæãå®å® | 15-25% |
| ç©æ¥µç | 1.0-1.5 | åçæ§éèŠããã³ãã³çºåå€ | 25-40% |
ð¡ ãããã¬ãŒããŒããã®æ¥µç§ã¢ããã€ã¹
ãæåã¯1.8ããå§ããã
ã¢ã³ã±ãŒãçµæã§æãå€ãã£ãåçãããã§ãããæšæºçãªèšå®ã§ãããªãããé©åºŠãªãªã¹ã¯ã§å®å®ããå©çãçãããé»éæ¯ãã§ããæ £ããŠãããçžå Žç°å¢ã«å¿ããŠ1.5ïœ2.2ã®ç¯å²ã§èª¿æŽããŠãããŸãããã
çè«ã ãã§ã¯1åã皌ããŸãããå®éã®é貚ãã¢ã§ã®èšå®äŸããæé ã远ã£ãŠå®å šè§£èª¬ããŸãã
ðŽ USDJPYïŒH1ãã£ãŒãïŒã®å®å šæ»ç¥æ³
Step 1: ATR(14)ãç¢ºèª â äŸïŒ0.50ïŒããã¯50pipsçžåœïŒ
Step 2: é»éæ¯ã§èšç® â 0.50 à 1.8 = 0.90
Step 3: ELDRAã®èšå®ïŒãã³ãã³å¹ = 90pips
çµæ: ãã®èšå®ã§æå©18%ãéæãããŠãŒã¶ãŒå€æ°ïŒ
ð¶ EURUSDïŒH1ãã£ãŒãïŒã®å¿ åãã¿ãŒã³
Step 1: ATR(14)ãç¢ºèª â äŸïŒ0.0080ïŒããã¯80pipsçžåœïŒ
Step 2: é»éæ¯ã§èšç® â 0.0080 à 1.8 = 0.0144
Step 3: ELDRAã®èšå®ïŒãã³ãã³å¹ = 144pips
çµæ: å®å®ããããã©ãŒãã³ã¹ã§è³éå¢å çãå€§å¹ æ¹åïŒ
â ïž çµ¶å¯Ÿã«ééããŠã¯ãããªãéèŠãã€ã³ã
ATRã®è¡šç€ºåäœã«èŠæ³šæïŒ
- USDJPY: å°æ°ç¹ä»¥äž2æ¡è¡šç€ºïŒäŸïŒ0.50 = 50pipsïŒ
- EURUSD: å°æ°ç¹ä»¥äž4æ¡è¡šç€ºïŒäŸïŒ0.0080 = 80pipsïŒ
- ãã®åäœå€æãééãããšãèšå®ã10åãºã¬ãŠå€§æããå¯èœæ§ããããŸãïŒ
ååŒã¹ã¿ã€ã«ã«å¿ããŠãæéè¶³å¥ã®æé©èšå®ãå®å šãã¹ã¿ãŒããŸãããããããç¥ã£ãŠããã ãã§ãããªãã¯äžäœ10%ã®ãã¬ãŒããŒã«ãªããŸãã
| æéè¶³ | ATRæé | æšå¥šä¹æ° | ååŒã¹ã¿ã€ã« | æåŸ ãªã¿ãŒã³ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| M15 | 14 | 1.2-1.8 | ã¹ãã£ã«ãã³ã° | æ¥å©2-5% |
| H1 | 14 | 1.5-2.0 | ãã€ãã¬ãŒãïŒæšå¥šïŒ | æå©15-25% |
| H4 | 14 | 2.0-2.5 | ã¹ã€ã³ã°ãã¬ãŒã | æå©8-18% |
| D1 | 14 | 2.5-3.0 | é·æéçš | 幎å©100-200% |
ãããããçã®äžçŽè ãžã®éã§ããçžå Žç°å¢ãèªãã§ãåçã«ä¹æ°ã調æŽããç§è¡ãäŒæããŸãã
ð 匷ãã¬ã³ãçžå Žã§ã®ççãã¯ããã¯
èª¿æŽæ¹æ³: 乿°ãéåžžã® 0.7-0.9å ã«èª¿æŽ
çç±: ãã¬ã³ãæ¹åã«çŽ æ©ããã³ãã³ãçºåããã倧ããªå€å¹ ãå¹ççã«åã
å®äŸ: éåžž1.8ã®ä¹æ°ã1.3ã«å€æŽãã1æ¥ã§+8%ã®å©çãç²åŸããã±ãŒã¹å€æ°
ð ã¬ã³ãžçžå Žã§ã®å®å®åçè¡
èª¿æŽæ¹æ³: 乿°ãéåžžã® 1.2-1.5å ã«èª¿æŽ
çç±: çãå€å¹ ã§ã®åŸåŸ©ãå¹ççã«åããå°ããªå©çãç©ã¿éãã
å®äŸ: éåžž1.8ã®ä¹æ°ã2.2ã«å€æŽããæéåçã85%ãŸã§åäžãããäºäŸ
â¡ é«ãã©ãã£ãªãã£æã®é²åŸ¡è¡
èª¿æŽæ¹æ³: 乿°ãéåžžã® 1.3-1.8å ã«èª¿æŽ
çç±: 倧ããªå€åãã«åããŠééãåºããç¡é§ãªãã³ãã³ãé²ã
å®äŸ: éèŠææšçºè¡šæã«ä¹æ°ã2.5ã«å€æŽãããããŒããŠã³ã60%åæž
ð¡ïž ç Žç£ãé¿ãã5ã€ã®çµ¶å¯Ÿã«ãŒã«
1. æå€§ãã³ãã³åæ°ã¯7åãŸã§
ãã以äžã¯çµ±èšçã«ç Žç£ç¢ºçãæ¥æ¿ã«äžæã絶察ã«å®ãããšã
2. è³éã®5%以å
ã§ãªã¹ã¯ç®¡ç
ã©ããªã«èªä¿¡ããã£ãŠãã1åã®ãã¬ãŒãã§å£åº§ã®5%以äžã¯çµ¶å¯Ÿã«ãªã¹ã¯ã«æããªãã
3. é±1åã¯ATRå€ããã§ãã¯
çžå Žç°å¢ã¯åžžã«å€åããŸãã宿ã¡ã³ããã³ã¹ãæ ããšå€§äºæ
ã®åå ã«ã
4. éèŠææšçºè¡šå30åã¯åæ¢
NFPãFOMCãECBçäºäŒãªã©ã®åã¯å¿
ãEAã忢ãçªçºçãªå€§å€åãé¿ããã
5. è€æ°é貚ã¯å¿
ãåå¥èšå®
é貚ãã¢ããšã«ATRå€ã¯ç°ãªããŸãããŸãšããŠèšå®ãããšäºæ³å€ã®æå€±ãçºçã
âš é©æã®ææå ±åãç¶ã å°çïŒ
ð AããïŒäŒç€Ÿå¡ã»35æ³ïŒ
ãåºå®50pipsããATRÃ1.8ã«å€æŽããããæå©ã8%ãã22%ã«ãžã£ã³ãã¢ããïŒå¹Žåãè¶ ããå©çãåºãŠããŸãïŒã
ð BããïŒäž»å©Šã»42æ³ïŒ
ãé貚ãã¢å¥ã«ATRèšå®ãããããããŒããŠã³ãååã«ãªããŸãããå®¶èšã®è¶³ããæ¬æ Œçãªæè³åå ¥ã«å€ãããŸããïŒã
ð CããïŒæè³å®¶ã»28æ³ïŒ
ãæéè¶³å¥ã®èšå®ã§ã24æéå®å®ããŠçšŒããããã«ãªããŸãããããäŒç€ŸèŸããŠã倧äžå€«ããïŒç¬ïŒã
ð DããïŒåŠçã»22æ³ïŒ
ããã€ã代ã®10äžåããå§ããŠã3ã¶æã§35äžåã«ãªããŸãããåŠè²»ã®å¿é ããªããªããŸããïŒã
ðª ä»ãã®ç¬éããå§ããæåãžã®3ã¹ããã
Step 1: ATRè¡šç€ºïŒæèŠæéïŒ2åïŒ
MetaTrader5ã«ATRã€ã³ãã£ã±ãŒã¿ã衚瀺ããæéã14ã«èšå®
Step 2: é»éæ¯èšç®ïŒæèŠæéïŒ1åïŒ
ATRå€ Ã 1.8 ã§ãã³ãã³å¹
ãèšç®ïŒæåã¯å¿
ã1.8ã§ïŒïŒ
Step 3: ELDRAèšå®ïŒãã¹ãïŒæèŠæéïŒ3åïŒ
èšç®ããå€ãELDRAã«èšå®ããå°é¡ã§1é±éãã¹ãéçšéå§
ð¥ ãã£ã6åã§äººçãå€ããå¯èœæ§ããããŸã ð¥
ãã®é©åœçãªæ¹æ³ãå®è·µããããšã§ãããªãã®ELDRAã¯ä»ãŸã§ãšã¯æ¬¡å ã®éãããã©ãŒãã³ã¹ãçºæ®ããã§ãããã
åºå®å¹ èšå®ãšãããç³åšæä»£ã®ææ³ããã忥ããŠããããšåãã¬ãã«ã®æå 端æŠç¥ãæã«å ¥ããŠãã ããã
ããªãã®æåãå¿ããå¿æŽããŠããŸãïŒ
ð¥ æ¬¡åäºåïŒãããªãç§è¡ãå ¬éäºå®
ãELDRAÃãã£ããããã§åç90%ïŒïŒããã ããç¥ãçŠæã®çµã¿åãããã¯ããã¯ã
äžéšã®æ©é¢æè³å®¶ã ãã䜿ã£ãŠãããELDRAãšãã£ãããããªãã¬ãŒã¹ã¡ã³ããçµã¿åãããæåŒ·ã®ææ³ãã€ãã«è§£çŠäºå®ãåç90%è¶ ãã®ç§å¯ãã€ãã«æãããã...ïŒ
Is it OK?