[Pickup Article] Summary of this week's notable articles [Updated 2026/08/17]
This Week’s Key FX Topics
The FOMC held the FF rate at 3.50–3.75% at its July meeting. With FedWatch pricing in one additional hike this year, attention turns to late-August’s Jackson Hole Symposium.
The BOJ raised the policy rate from 0.75% to 1.00% in June and held in July. Following coordinated Japan–US intervention, the probability priced for an additional hike in September has risen to around 80%.
USD/JPY continues to trade in a range from the low 158s to the high 160s. Above 160, concerns over renewed intervention—given the late-July coordinated action—are capping the upside.
Geopolitical risks surrounding Iran sanctions and the Strait of Hormuz are feeding into higher crude prices and upward pressure on US yields, providing support for the dollar.
US spot Bitcoin ETFs saw a net outflow of about $390 million in the latest week (8/10–14). Outflows continue from Ethereum ETFs as well.
This Week’s Curated Articles
We tested all five moving average types (SMA/EMA/WMA/HMA/DEMA). Shockingly, the textbook staple EMA200 performed the worst.
A comprehensive test of five moving averages on EURUSD by period and method. We reveal the surprising finding that the classic EMA50/200 golden cross systematically underperformed statistically.
Does MACD work? After 1,350 variations, we uncovered the “true nature of the zero line.”
We tested three approaches—signal line crosses, zero-line breaks, and divergence—across 1,350 configurations. While we found no clear edge as buy/sell signals, we conclude MACD is useful for gauging market conditions.
How far should you trust past data?
Through developing the automatic channel detection tool “ACE,” we delve into the perennial design trade-off: prioritize sample size or favor data most similar to recent market conditions?
You’re not bad at cutting losses—your entry is bad.
This article argues it’s not weak willpower but “entry location” that hampers stop-loss execution. The farther you enter from your benchmark, the wider the stop becomes and the harder it is to cut. The mechanism is carefully unpacked.
Gold Canon Vol. 12 | The “one more time” losing pattern—How to avoid being swayed by emotions
We organize three emotion-prone scenarios—losing streaks, winning streaks, and unrealized losses—and introduce practical techniques, like pre-entry self-checks, to help you regain composure.
Chapter 1: Market impulses and the baptism of N/E values [Part 1] — [Mostly True Story] How I reclaimed my life from the market after blowing my bonus
The author, who blew a bonus through manual trading, recounts being captivated by the “holy grail” of price projection theory (N/E values) in this documentary series’ first chapter. The story leading up to the birth of a multi-layer defense EA begins.
Trading, Greed for Money, and Ambition
A candid admonition for people who look for shortcuts before they start earning, explaining the difference between greed for money and healthy ambition. It also offers a glimpse into the author’s stance as an EA developer.
★ Free Trial: “Shoukinryu” 7-Day Free Trial Now Available
Announcing a 7-day free trial of the gold-specialized EA “Shoukinryu.” The logic is identical to the full product, letting you verify behavior with your own broker environment.
For deeper learning — Featured Paid Series
Near-daily reports via line trading and fundamental analysis
A practical series combining line trading—trendlines, horizontals, Fibonacci—with fundamentals to read medium- to long-term supply and demand.
Learn for less than a coin a day! Highly reproducible GOLD trading method
The practical edition of the GOLD Quick Remedy Manual. A series explaining highly repeatable entry thinking and actual trading points for less than a coin per day.
Hiroshi Koya’s “Decoding the Market’s Messages”
Taught by Hiroshi Koya with over half a century in markets! Learn everything from choosing indicators to future outlooks in market analysis.
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