Reason why people continue to lose even when given a method with 60% FX win rate [Legendary Investor Group: The Turtles]

Reason why many people still lose even when given a 60% winning-rate method【Legendary Investor Group: The Turtles】

“There is a method with a 60% win rate.”

When people hear this, many think like this:

“Then you should be able to win.”

In fact, when I first started FX, I thought so too.

But reality is different.

Not only 60% winning-rate, there are many who lose even when using a method with almost 70% win rate.

Why is that?

Today, I want to discuss something truly important for making profits in FX.

If the win rate is 60%, you should normally be able to win
For example,

Win rate: 60%
Lose rate: 40%

Suppose there is a method with these rates.
If we simplify,

Win: +6,000 yen
Lose: −4,000 yen

Then,
After 10 trades,

6 wins → +36,000 yen
4 losses → −16,000 yen

As a result,

+20,000 yen

is the outcome.

In theory, if you continue, your capital should increase.
However, in reality, many people lose money.

Why do you lose even with a 60% win rate?
The reason is actually quite simple.

Because you cannot follow the rules.

The main problems are

Stop loss
Take profit
Lot sizing

in particular.

For example, originally there was a rule like,

“Stop loss at −10 pips.”

But you think, “If I wait a little longer, it might come back,”



and you leave it be.
Before you notice,

−10 pips becomes
−30 pips
−50 pips

instead.

Just doing this a few times easily wipes out a 60% win rate.

People who lose do so because of their bad way of losing
When you see people who can’t win in FX,

the win rate itself isn’t always that bad.

The problem is that the losses when you lose are too big.


For example,

6 wins totaling +60 pips
4 losses totaling −100 pips

Then,
Even with a 60% win rate,

the total is −40 pips

.

In other words, what matters is
not “how many times you win,” but “how much you have left in the end.”

Why 90% of FX traders are said to fail

People often say that 90% of FX traders fail.

Of course, there are various opinions about the numbers, but
the fact remains that many people leave the market.

The major cause is not the method itself.


Rather,
they cannot cut losses
they cannot extend profits
they raise their lot size too much
they enter based on emotion
and so on.

Fund management and psychology problems
often cause it.

Many people keep looking for a winning method, but
what really matters is

“how you operate that method.”

The most important thing I think is a plan that preserves and grows profits

I have learned many methods myself.


And ultimately I realized that,

the plan is more important than the method.

For example in my trading,

I target “+10 pips per day.”
That’s my single goal.

Because
if I push to win big, I am more likely to lose the profits I have built.


The mindset of not forcing it
not being greedy
accumulating profits

is extremely important for surviving long-term in the market.

The lessons that changed my FX life
From my mentor, a legendary trader,
the most important was

“Prioritize keeping profits.”

This realization changed my trading.

Many people focus on
win rate
signals
indicators
but what’s truly important is

“how to protect capital while increasing it.”

Rather than simply making profits,
leave profits behind.

Once you adopt this mindset, my trading changed dramatically.




Do you know the famous story of the legendary investors, the Turtle Traders?
They were legendary traders who studied the same rules and trained for the same period.

Their methods emphasized edge (expected value), capital management, and risk management.

Position management using ATR is also well known.

Intuitively, everyone could seem to win in the same way.
Yet in reality, they divided into

great winners
small winners
losers



Moreover, even with the same environment, learning, and rules,
they could see each other’s positions.

In the end, the difference came down to the people.
From this story, you can learn

that
having a winning method alone is not enough

to succeed.

Even with the same method, only those who can follow rules, cut losses, avoid greed, and thoroughly manage capital







will leave large profits in the end.

What’s truly important in FX is not only
“finding a high-win-rate method”
but also

how to protect capital and how to accumulate profits with that method.
Only then does it become a truly winning trade.

If you are currently
“still looking for a winning method”

pause and consider this:

What you may be missing is not a new method
but a plan to keep profits

instead.

The method I am currently practicing is here
(there is also a currency strength filter added here)
★★ Steady trading of +10 pips per day (1–2.5 hours per day) ★★
I combined two methods taught by a real pro trader (mentor),
and added a logic that clarifies entry points
not to “win” but to “earn.”
Trade only at places with high probability of rising
Think like overseas pro traders (legends like Buffett or Soros)

↓
https://www.gogojungle.co.jp/tools/ebooks/76385


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