【A Winning Method Is Actually Such a Thing】High-priced FX教材 surprisingly doesn’t teach well, "How far up the higher time frame should you look?"
[A Winning Method Actually Isn't That] High-priced FX教材 surprisingly doesn’t teach you well “How far up the higher time frames should you look?”
When you learn trend following in FX, you’re almost always told
**“Only aim for the direction of the higher time frame”**
This is what’s known as multi-timeframe analysis
Of course, it isn’t wrong
But there has always been one question for me
For example,
**“Look at the daily direction and trade on the 5-minute chart”**
This is a common way of thinking
However, even if the daily is in an uptrend, daily-level pullbacks or retracements can last for several days
During that time, the 5-minute chart can show substantial declines
So you might think
**“Is trading truly correct by looking only at the daily direction?”**
If you’re trading on the 1-hour level, it makes sense to emphasize the daily direction
But when you’re at the 5-minute level, things change
On the daily, it’s just a pullback.
But on the 5-minute you can have a substantial profit potential
Conversely,
Even if the daily trend is moving in a certain direction, the 5-minute chart may quickly revert
In other words,
**“Noise on the daily can become a solid trading opportunity on the 5-minute”**
This creates a contradiction.
That’s why I started to think not about “following the higher time frames,”
but about
**“How far up the higher time frames should you look relative to the target price range you aim for?”**
I began to think this through thoroughly.
In fact, many FX materials say
“Environmental recognition is important”
“Let’s look at the higher time frames”
But
**“How far up should you look on the higher time frames?”**
is surprisingly unclear in many cases
Even expensive教材s may leave this part fuzzy
Personally, I think that part is actually the most important
After all, even with lots of information,
the only option is to backtest yourself and verify in practice
However, among those, there are a few useful ways of thinking
The idea that first made me go “Ah, I see” is here
## ① If you enter on 1-minute, look at 5-minute and 1-hour
The range you target on the 1-minute chart is limited.
If you also consider 4-hour or daily in that situation, you’ll be overwhelmed by information and your judgment will waver
Then
**“1-minute → 5-minute → 1-hour”**
is sufficient, that’s the idea
This is essentially the mindset of scalping
Another point I found convincing was
## ② If you enter on 1-minute, look at 5-minute and 15-minute
This also makes sense
For the few pips you aim for on the 1-minute chart,
Align the flows of the 15-minute and 5-minute charts
It’s very simple
From here, what kind of analysis do I actually use?
* For 15-minute entry, use 1-hour and 4-hour
* For 5-minute entry, use 15-minute and 1-hour
* For 1-minute entry, use 5-minute and 15-minute
Alternatively,
* For 5-minute entry, use 1-hour and 4-hour
* For 1-minute entry, use 5-minute and 1-hour
What was especially difficult was
**How much to emphasize the 15-minute flow when trading on the 1-minute chart?**
Furthermore,
**How far to prioritize the 1-hour flow?**
What to look at, what to deem correct, what to ignore
Figuring this out took a long time of testing
But once you balance it, your world changes
Because you can limit the direction
* From here up
* From here down
* Around here is no-trade
Being able to decide this alone gives you enough edge
In fact, many people are
looking only for “entry methods”
But what’s really important is
**Deciding where to trade**
If the direction is decided,
all that remains is to find the entry point
If going long, you want to enter as close to the bottom as possible
If going short, you want to enter as close to the top as possible.
It’s very simple when stated in words
When people think of a winning FX method,
many imagine special indicators or secret logics
But in practice,
**“Which time-frame flow do you adopt?”**
**“How far up should you look on the higher time frames to make decisions?”**
Deciding this alone can greatly determine the outcome
Maybe winning methods are actually just that simple
The method I am currently practicing is here
(I’ve also added a currency-strong filter to this)
★★ Solid trading with only +10 pips per day (1–2 hours per day) ★★
A trading method aimed at “earning” rather than “winning”
Trade based on the expectation of higher-probability longs
Thoughts of international pro traders (legendary investors Buffett and Soros)
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https://www.gogojungle.co.jp/tools/ebooks/76385
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